Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 118.748105 136.482596 156.976799 182.652361 214.302131 252.498889 3.027997e+02
2025-04-06 94.273628 116.314930 144.443420 183.865338 239.209548 316.650064 4.381441e+02
2025-04-13 80.144336 103.449454 135.177639 183.184079 257.198089 373.194981 5.836007e+02
2025-04-20 72.990654 97.814156 133.506763 191.254534 288.231281 457.715957 8.148032e+02
2025-04-27 69.111928 95.809827 136.172685 205.760675 332.900009 581.730161 1.201721e+03
2025-05-04 62.595714 88.802024 129.816159 203.779706 347.516997 654.340012 1.532166e+03
2025-05-11 58.050588 84.150149 126.354112 205.839256 370.068480 753.548600 2.032129e+03
2025-05-18 53.327437 78.611307 120.558197 202.348522 380.052295 827.973912 2.545261e+03
2025-05-25 50.130319 75.182958 117.864826 204.186743 402.189969 945.905067 3.411847e+03
2025-06-01 47.026523 71.568465 114.342092 203.646467 418.635901 1057.688126 4.486650e+03
2025-06-08 43.959673 67.715426 109.909409 200.399625 427.500931 1151.943874 5.721173e+03
2025-06-15 42.830504 67.119716 111.444894 210.287053 474.200346 1413.492189 9.230704e+03
2025-06-22 39.574503 62.660571 105.485412 203.296068 474.817111 1513.007564 1.209435e+04
2025-06-29 37.493498 60.184693 103.207751 204.709165 502.054072 1762.554018 1.961092e+04
2025-07-06 35.430051 57.540827 100.257798 203.922665 522.524963 2009.563251 3.211276e+04
2025-07-13 34.473994 56.874207 101.264226 213.254136 581.561040 2565.834391 8.066024e+04
2025-07-20 34.152634 57.378135 104.791305 230.077256 678.041874 3599.717224 4.398660e+05
2025-07-27 32.410011 54.935506 101.595659 227.776138 698.752141 4110.879524 1.731743e+06
2025-08-03 31.151368 53.351930 100.133911 230.168561 741.536936 4980.614563 7.828737e+07
2025-08-10 29.579430 51.013428 96.705514 226.114387 753.854836 5583.332864 NaN
2025-08-17 28.521635 49.647277 95.384700 228.248862 797.932843 6818.939824 NaN
2025-08-24 27.382249 48.027835 93.300023 227.621409 828.657693 8065.606157 NaN
2025-08-31 26.154108 46.139915 90.394595 223.852502 841.338234 9122.552657 NaN